The State of Austin's Housing Market

The end of 2007 will see the Austin Housing Market sell about 94% of the number of homes that were sold through the Austin area MLS in 2006, the most prolific year ever in Austin home sales. Historically this will place 2007 Austin homes sales in second place.

Yet, concert has arisen about the slowing housing market due mostly to headlines comparing ’07 with ’06. Comparing any year to the best year ever is going to give less than impressive numbers; however, our average home price is up $16,000 over ’06 (through October ’07). Our total value of homes closed is above ’06, but the number of homes sales is down 5.7% and the days on the market is up slightly.

Austin’s job and population growth is very strong (4+%) and appears to be getting stronger. The report that Property & Portfolio Research, Inc. of Boston recently completed indicates that Austin has possibly the highest office rent growth in the nation and is projecting 2008 at a 9.2% increase. Google is nearing finalization of a lease for 25,000 square feet in the downtown area (ABJ) and is one of many such companies locating offices here. Our direct monetary impact from tourism is up 19% over three years (ABJ). Apartment occupancy rates rose 1.43% in the third quarter to 94.14% overall at a rate of $.95 per square foot (highest in the state and rose 6.2% over ’06) on an average of 834 SF apartment (Austin Trends Report and ALN). Unemployment is at 3.5% and more employers are being announced weekly.

So, why all the concern? Too many people read national stories and apply it locally. Austin is not a declining market. Austin’s inventory is growing and this means more days on the market and more motivated sellers. Our inventory is growing for only two reasons: fewer buyers and more homes. Why has this happened? We have fewer Buyers due to lack of easy money. We have more homes a 4.6 months supply which is up from our 3.1 months supply in 2006. The truth is, we has drifted into a period that anyone who wanted a loan could get one and the foreclosures are mounting so the lenders went back to the former standard.
Bottom line, this is healthy adjustment. Austin just happens to be in the right place at the right rime. The nation’s situation is bringing interest rates down while we are experiencing a rental boom.
There is no better place to invest today than Austin!